Mission ’13, Game 55: Padres win 4-3 in extras

We’re officially in the middle third of the season and the Jays have a lot of work to do to get back to respectability, never mind contention. Tonight’s match up pits youngster Chad Jenkins against grizzled veteran Jason Marquis in one of the biggest parks in MLB.

Melky’s May Meter

1-8

36 hits

This is the last game of watching Melky get back into the swing of things. His 36 hits this month are a far cry from his performance-enhanced total of 51 last season, but still pretty good in its own right and one better than we prognosticated. Following this game we’ll take the spotlight off Melky and feature another aspect of the Jays’ season.

Early home runs by Colby Rasmus and Edwin Encarnacion staked the Jays to a 3-0 lead, but a couple other things caught my attention. First, JP Arencibia walked for the second time since the last game of the Baltimore series when he had 3 hits and a walk. Second, Colby homered. He didn’t strike out.

Not striking out has been a trend with Rasmus lately. We’re all aware of his propensity to swing at almost everything and miss. A week ago or so I took a quick look at his stat line at www.tsn.ca—I like it because they project the rest of the season—and Colby was on pace for 241 Ks. That’s right: 241 Ks. Lately, though, Colby isn’t swinging as much, and when he swings he isn’t missing as often.

His low point came early in the season: he wore the golden sombrero against the White Sox, whiffing 4 times in 4 ABs. It hadn’t been going well before that; it continued to go poorly after that. I tried writing out the info that follows, but it looks so much better in a table. This is a simple overview of how the K has affected Colby’s game this season (this was gleaned from http://www.tsn.ca/mlb/teams/players/gamelog/?id=5625):

AB

H

BB

K

K/BB

Early On

46

11

5

23

4.6

PB & J*

87

20

7

34

4.9

Lately

39

10

3

5

1.7

*PB & J means exactly what you think it means: it’s the sticky, gooey mess between two slices of bread.

The splits are uneven, though the messy PB & J section is about the same size as the others if you add them together. You can tell by looking that Rasmus isn’t going to walk much, regardless of his K-rate or contact rates. This will ensure a return to his customary K-form before too long. It’s important to note that Gregg Zaun still thinks Colby’s a 5-tool player.

Ever since writing the piece about the Jays having a shot at improving because they won’t face the AL East as often, they’ve tanked. Their pitching has given up 15 runs and the defense, which showed modest improvement in May, has been awful. One of the chief culprits has been JP Arencibia, who continues to demonstrate his lack of Major League level skills and awful decision-making ability (never mind the incredible number of times he and the pitcher don’t communicate clearly or he gets crossed up).

I thought that if I heard one more comment about Adam Lind needing more at bats because he’s hitting so well, I’d lose my lunch. Coming into the game, Lind had 6 ABs against LHP this season (1 H, 3 K). He’s a .220/.264/.343 guy against lefties for his career with 191 Ks in 761 PAs. John Gibbons has optimized Adam Lind’s offensive contribution nicely. His single against herky-jerky lefty Joe Thatcher does not warrant more ABs against lefties.

Defense turned a 3-0 lead into a 3-3 tie tonight and the Jays went on to lose in 17 innings. Astonishingly, Melky, Bautista, and Edwin went down in order in the 12th inning on 3 pitches (Tim Stauffer only needed 11 pitches to retire six batters). Brain cramps led to a much longer game than it needed to be but a loss is a loss.

Wes Kepstro

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3 Responses to “Mission ’13, Game 55: Padres win 4-3 in extras”


  1. 1 @ALEastbound June 1, 2013 at 10:18 am

    JP Arencibia threw that game away basically. The Padres didn;t hit a lick after that error he made. How many times can he be “crossed up” with his pitcher?

    I know there is nothing out there available but an upgrade at catcher is a necessity if this team is serious about playing winning baseball.

    • 2 Wes Kepstro June 1, 2013 at 11:55 am

      I agree heartily. Think about the implications of his boneheaded throw to (?)/at (?)/in the general direction of (?) third base, with Buehrle pitching today, and Morrow hurting. Their ‘pen is spent, and they’ll need it.

      Buck and Tabby talk about the 60-game mark. I gave them ’til the end of May. Regardless of time frame (trade deadline is another)–whether more or less arbitrary–this season’s probably a wash.


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