I get the sense that there are still those who hold out hope for the 2013 Toronto Blue Jays. That the playoffs can still be attained and all that is needed is a nice long winning streak. For fun I thought I would do a hypothetical exercise in which the Blue Jays went on a 20-game winning streak to see where that might leave them in the race.
Here are the current AL East standings:
|AL EAST 2013||W – L||GB||L10|
|Boston Red Sox||37-24||—||6-4|
|Tampa Bay Rays||32-27||4.0||7-3|
|Toronto Blue Jays||25-34||11.0||5-5|
What a bleak picture indeed. Now here are the would-be standings if the Jays were to miraculously run off a huge 20-game win streak. For the other four AL East teams I simply doubled their current L10 record. Not exactly scientific but unless you had a crystal ball handy it’ll have to do.
|AL EAST (make believe world)||W – L|
|Boston Red Sox||49-32|
|Tampa Bay Rays||46-33|
|Toronto Blue Jays||45-34|
|New York Yankees||45-35|
First, all the talk that the AL East is somehow weaker or an easier ride than years past is just plain false. There might not be one dominant team but it is still a beast of a division. Second, a monumental 20-game winning streak would still leave the Blue Jays in fourth place albeit in the thick of the race. Third, given the makeup of the Blue Jays current rotation a streak of this magnitude is a near impossible task.
MLB baseball has seen only six teams run off a streak of 20 or more wins in a row. The last is the highly publicized 2002 Oakland A’s team glorified in the movie “Moneyball”. For your convenience here is the list of the longest winning streaks in MLB history as per Wikipedia.
That’s what it would take folks, do you believe in miracles?