Mission ’13: What Should the Jays do with Munenori Kawasaki?

It’s no secret that Munenori Kawasaki is as popular as John McDonald, another beloved utility player.  In his brief tenure with the Jays, he has a walk-off hit, a game-tying home run, he bows to Melky in left field, and he had the normally-reserved Edwin Encarnacion up and cheering in the bottom of the ninth inning against the Orioles.  Fans love him, teammates love him, the media loves him and he’s embraced all of us in return. Okay, enough with the love-in.

One of the great problems that the Toronto Blue Jays face is that Jose Reyes—the player whom Munenori replaced—is close to returning. Mune’s been a 0.8 fWAR/1.3 bWAR player in his time with the Jays, so his value is real. What should the Jays do with him? As far as I can tell, there are 3 main options.

  1. Keep him and shrink the ‘pen by one pitcher:
    • the Jays already carry one more reliever (8) than is customary (7);
    • the extra RP allows for a little roster flexibility;
    • the problem is that the ‘pen has (easily) been the Jays’ greatest strength;
    • the odd man out here would likely be Juan Perez, who is valuable as a LHP and has pitched well;
    • sending Perez to AAA is problematic because he’s out of options: his effectiveness suggests that he’d be claimed;
  1. Send him to Buffalo:
    • so, will they serve brats and pops at the riot, or do fans and players have to bring their own?;
    • as unpopular as this move would be it is the most likely alternative, since Mune has options;
    • he is likely to handle it well;
  1. Make him the second baseman:
    • he played 10 games at 2B with the Mariners in 2012 with no errors;
    • 2B is occupied by Emilio Bonifacio;
    • Mune’s outplayed Bonifacio with the bat and with the glove;
    • Bonifacio is more versatile (IF/OF) and has greater upside (speed; late-inning defensive replacement in the OF, as well as pinch running).

Let’s have a peek at some of the pros and cons:

Pros:

  • he’s incredibly popular;
  • his enthusiasm is contagious;
  • he contributes positively to team ‘chemistry’;
  • he’s good on the base paths (2.1 BsR), and offers several plus traits on offense (e.g. BB);
  • he’s a very good #9 hitter who turns the line up over consistently;
  • he tends to go deep in counts and makes regular contact (Z-contact: 94.2%);

Cons:

  • honestly, he’s a utility player playing above his head: the longer he plays, the more likely his value will decline;
  • if his value declines, his popularity and enthusiasm won’t necessarily help them win;
  • he has a weak arm and his range isn’t very good (-1.3 RngR);
  • his overall defensive value is limited (-0.6 UZR; -2.0 UZR/150): he’s decent on the field (-0.6 Fld), but no more than a stopgap.

Jose Reyes will play shortstop, that much is sure. The problem is that he’s injury prone and plays on a tough surface for players with a history of injury problems. Let’s hope that doesn’t rear it’s ugly head again. Munenori is probably more valuable at 2B than Emilio Bonifacio because Mune’s an infielder, while Bonifacio—though improved on the IF—is a better outfielder. Rajai’s the 4th OF and is playing well in that role.  Also forgotten in all of this is Maicer Izturis, who has mostly been terrible this year ‘though his play has improved lately.  His 3-year (plus an option) contract suggests that he needn’t worry.

Should the Jays keep another bench/utility player? Should they send Juan Perez to Buffalo? Munenori Kawasaki has done his job, and then some. He’s done what the commentators have mentioned regularly for the last few weeks: he’s made the decision process difficult. It’s a nice problem to have.

Wes Kepstro

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